Thursday, October 27, 2022

No, We Aren't All About To Die From a Solar Storm

 I just found one which said we're "due" for a massive solar storm comparable to the worst one in history, which according to these people, was in AD774-775, based on tree ring data, and doesn't map to solar activity.

Aliens?

And now they're claiming this happens every 1,000 years and another one will hit us soon, and it will start forest fires and basically, yup, we're all going to die.

It's estimated at 10 times higher than the Carrington event. And it would, of course, send us back to the stone age, and we're all going to die.

But a solar storm that doesn't correlate with sun activity? And one of the team says there is a "one percent chance" of seeing this within the next decade.

Except we already had a solar storm about a thousand years after this one. Ya know, the Carrington event. True, it wasn't nearly as powerful, but...

I don't buy it. Of course, I can't read the actual study because it's paywalled. Including any of the caveats.

There was also a pretty bad one that "turned the skies red in the north" in East Asia (auroras coming south).

Then there's the one we just dodged in 2012, that was Carrington strength.

Yes, this is why we need to learn to predict these things (if you turn everything off before the storm hits, it will be fine). But I'm finding this one a little hard to buy. And grumbling about paywalls.

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